I have selected 2027 as the year when the future
starts. What I mean is that the year 2027 will be the year when the next cycle
of prosperity begins. One such era began in 1945. Twenty years later began a
time of spirituality. The next phase of the cycle, the age of the individual,
started in 1983. The next crisis cycle began in 2001. This crisis cycle should
be resolved by 2019. Given a few years to clean up the debris, by 2027, we
should have another time of prosperity.
The world that will exist in 2027 will be as
different as 1953 was from 1929. 1929 was the beginning of the last crisis
cycle. As frightening as these times of crisis are, humankind has survived them
all. The next will be no different. There are over three hundred million
Americans alive today. Even if our eight largest cities were attacked with nuclear
weapons, our losses would be only about forty million Americans. Of course,
that would be unspeakably awful; however, two hundred and sixty million
Americans would survive. No doubt, these survivors will redefine the nation and
the world.
These survivors will rise from the ashes demanding
balance. The “extreme” philosophy of Generation X will be passé. The thrill of
the extreme will die with the real hardships faced during the crisis. The
result will be moderation in all things. Reason will return to the political
landscape. Social responsibility will return to the forefront, and the
corporate monopolies that now rule will give way to the common good.
Technology will be used to improve life. Streets
and highways, neglected in favor of weapons expenditures, will be rebuilt with
the future in mind. They will use computer technology to be smarter and safer. Artificial
intelligence will drive your vehicle for you by means of expert sensors and
global positioning systems.
Newspapers will be electronic as publishers finally
wrestle the internet away from individual mavericks. They will be tailored to your
interests. Audio and video will digitally stream to your vehicle as corporate
radio and television now do.
Wages will finally climb to reasonable levels. Money
itself will be adjusted in value. Paper money will become more and more novel
as debit cards become more popular. In order to ensure security, some form of
biometrics will be utilized for debit cards, most likely an electronic thumbprint.
Two factors will increase the average income. One
is diminished population levels forcing a more competitive wage structure. The
second factor will be a sense of social responsibility redefining what is
reasonable profit while rewarding workers for their efforts. This will be forced
by revitalized unionization.
Credit as we understand it will disappear. The
unsecured loan will be held in disdain by consumers and businesses alike. This will
be a result of the overuse of credit scores for non-credit purposes and the
irresponsible use of credit in the previous two generations.
Health care will finally get the attention it deserves.
The new social contract will elevate health care to a right. In the aftermath
of an outbreak of a biological pathogen, some form of socialized medicine will
emerge. If not, otherwise healthy people will succumb to treatable diseases for
lack of adequate insurance. Those uninsured and underinsured will suffer
economic hardship due to the high cost of health care. This will be followed by
the collapse of a health insurance industry unable to pay the claims of
millions of covered patients in the wake of the epidemic. The government will
relieve the private health insurance companies of their responsibilities and
will evolve an effective and efficient health care system.
The medical community itself will undergo change. Society
will see it as partially culpable for the crisis. It will carry a sense of
guilt for its inability to render aid in the early stages of the outbreak. Health
care professionals will be forced to restructure medical care to be responsive
to all people.
Cost effective and efficient desalinization will
provide additional sources of fresh water and allow resources to be diverted
back into agriculture.
The division between rural and urban will blur. Small
towns will be revitalized as survivors scatter across the country. Cities that
survive will be far less populated. Corporate America , fearing the target created
by building in clusters, will disperse. Smaller cities will expand in size to
accommodate the new influx of business and people. The government will
intervene to set fair market values for real estate to prevent price gouging. Super
cities like New York ,
Chicago , and Los Angeles , having been
abandoned during the crisis, will be recovered as living monuments to the
twentieth century.
Multinational corporations will cease to exist by
this time. In the year 2027, distrust of foreign influence and the inability of
the multinationals to respond to national interests will finally take their
toll on these corporations. The market will de-invest in the global giants in
favor of more localized firms. Production facilities will be forced back into
the United States .
The classic conservative values of God, home,
community, and employer will prevail in the surviving culture, at least in
publicly. In private, neo-hedonistic subcultures will add a diversion to the
publicly uniform life. Monogamous marriages for public show will provide cover
for discreet extramarital affairs. Indiscretion will be socially punished, but
forgotten and forgiven quickly as long as the primary family unit remains in
tact and the children are not affected.
Children will be treasured, pampered, and protected
as national treasures. The crisis will assert a sense of the fragility of life
and the blessing of existence. Certain side effects of the crisis will result
in sterilization. Couples will be free to adopt orphans and unsupported
children. Every child will be viewed as a community asset; the community will
come to the aid of any struggling parent. Parents will be held in high esteem
for having children and will readily find support with any issue. Community and
social responsibility will connect with individual responsibility to provide an
artificially safe environment in the surviving nation.
Religion will find itself delegated to private life.
It will no longer be a viable political tool. By consensus, religion in public
life will be suspect. The surviving generation will not tolerate religious
bigotry, public displays of religion outside of acceptable religious centers or
group identification based on religion.
The surviving generation will demand order from the
religious and anti-religious factions. The same holds true concerning political
divisions. Wide political divergences will be tolerated only as long as they remain
in the confines of political aspirations.
National politics will be defined by the
overwhelming, almost compulsive desire to achieve diplomatic resolutions to all
problems. Elected officials will be skilled political leaders and diplomats. Armed
conflict will be repulsive to the surviving generation. They will engage the
world on all levels to find common communal values and build solutions.
If not replaced, the United Nations will become a
form of elected representative global government. It will function on a
parliamentary system similar to the British system. This body will be a two-house
body, much like the United States Congress. One house will be based on
population while the other will allow for equal representation. The executive
branch of the new United Nations will have police powers. The surviving
generation will demand that national sovereignty take a back seat to global necessities.
Any national government that opposes this trend will be replaced. We will
demand global engagement to ensure global social order. The key for the
traumatized surviving generation will be order. They will demand it, and they
will get it.
The trauma of the crisis will have a prolonged
effect on its survivors. Drug use will be high due to traumatized survivors
self-medicating and to the early failures of the medical community to cope with
the impact of high casualties during the crisis. The result will be the decriminalization
of drug use and a surviving generation demanding solutions to drug dependence. Drug
use will be stripped of its social stigma and addressed as a medical issue. All
forms of abnormal behavior due to delayed stress will be addressed through the
medical community.
As the surviving generation gives way to the
treasured generation, uniformity and pragmatism will give way to nonconformity
and the exploration of individual expression. Creativity will rise in the arts
and the media and pave the way towards an enlightened, educated era of free
expression.
These are just predictions based on the events of
history. History is only a guide; it is not a dictator. We may not be able to
avert the crisis. However, we can minimize it by rationally addressing it. Our job
now is to make sure that people survive to see the next era of prosperity. Our
future is bright; we just need to get there.
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