In the realm of global geopolitics, China's blue-water operations have been met with challenges that have implications for its strategic pursuits in the Pacific and beyond. Mike Sweeney's recent analysis sheds light on the hurdles facing China as it seeks to expand its influence in the region and project power on a broader scale.
China's Aggressive Diplomacy and U.S. Response:
The aggressive diplomatic maneuvers of China in the Pacific have triggered a pro-U.S. backlash in the Second Island Chain. Notably, the president of Palau, in 2020, openly called for the United States to establish bases on its territory in response to Chinese assertiveness. While the U.S. did not act on this specific request, it has initiated investments in infrastructure to support non-permanent deployments in Palau and the Free States of Micronesia. Furthermore, an agreement with Palau allows for the construction of a large phased-array radar on one of its islands to enhance monitoring of Chinese military activities in the region.
The "String of Pearls" Strategy and Technical Limitations:
Some U.S. analysts speculate that China is attempting to create a "string of pearls" in the Indian Ocean by developing a network of military and civilian installations. However, technical limitations in most commercial ports pose challenges to their military utility. These ports lack the necessary equipment, facilities, and personnel required for complex military operations, limiting their effectiveness to providing logistical support during peacetime and minimal combat support during wartime. Allowing the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) to use civilian ports in wartime would essentially align a country as a co-combatant in the conflict, a decision that may not be swayed by Chinese economic leverage.
Iran's Missteps in Supporting China's Goals:
In a related context, Iran's attempts to support China's objectives in the Middle East have faced setbacks. Recent missile and drone strikes by Iran targeting specific objectives failed to reach their intended targets, underscoring the challenges associated with aligning with China's strategic ambitions.
Conclusion:
The complexities surrounding Chinese blue-water operations highlight the intricate dynamics of global power struggles and the strategic calculations of key players in the region. As China navigates these challenges, the broader implications for regional stability and power dynamics remain significant.
**Source:**
Sweeney, M. (2024, April 30). Challenges to Chinese Blue-Water Operations. Defense Priorities
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